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Q4 2022

Quantitative Perspectives: When the Tide Goes Out

November 22, 2022

PE hangs in the balance as recession odds grow

A soft landing is becoming less and less likely, and the odds of a recession have risen to 65% in recent months, our model predicts.

The leveraged loan market, which has fueled the buyout engine for years, has nearly shut down as new debt issuance fell to the lowest volume in more than two years.

Lags between public and private market reporting mean that many LPs’ portfolios are likely overweight to private investments. That could make fundraising a greater challenge for GPs, especially those with unproven strategies.

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Request a free trial Log in. Products. Solutions. Data. About. Blog. driven by the PitchBook Platform. Venture capital. Private equity. M&A. Tech. Europe. Leveraged loans. Q4 2022. Quantitative Perspectives: When the Tide Goes Out. November 22, 2022. PE hangs in the balance as recession odds grow. A soft landing is becoming less and less likely, and the odds of a recession have risen to 65% in recent months, our model predicts. The leveraged loan market, which has fueled the buyout engine for years, has nearly shut down as new debt issuance fell to the lowest volume in more than two years. Lags between public and private market reporting mean that many LPs’ portfolios are likely overweight to private investments. That could make fundraising a greater challenge for GPs, especially those with unproven strategies. Share: . . . . Tags: Private Equity. Quantitative Perspectives. To download this report, please complete the form below. First name. Last name. Business email. Company (Optional) (Optional) Phone (Optional) (Optional) Products. PitchBook Desktop. PitchBook Mobile. CRM Integration. Excel Plugin. Chrome Extension. Direct Data. Institutional Research Group. Morningstar Institutional Equity Research. Product Releases. PitchBook for. Private Market Valuations. Venture Capital. Private Equity. Hedge Funds. Startups. Profile Previews. Solutions. Private Market Intel. Fundraising. Deal Sourcing. Due Diligence. Business Development. Networking. Deal Execution. Benchmarking. Asset Allocation. Blog. Webinars. Video Library. Data. Companies. Investors. Deals. M&A. Limited Partners. Funds. Financials. Advisors. Professionals. Debt. Lenders. Data Operations. Leveraged Commentary and Data. Reports. Newsletter. Advertise. Research & Analysis Team. About. Customer Success. Client Testimonials. What Sets Us Apart. Press Inquiries. Partnerships. Careers. Follow us. . . . . . US Headquarters. +1 (206) 623.1986. 901 Fifth Avenue. Suite 1200. Seattle, WA 98164. European Headquarters. +44 (0) 20 8037.2308. 1st Floor Saffron House. 6-10 Kirby Street. London EC1N 8TS. United Kingdom. Asia-Pacific Headquarters. Unit 6807-09, The Center. 99 Queen’s Road Central. Hong Kong. Contact Us. info@pitchbook.com. Request Research. Profile Request. Deal Submission. Follow us. . . . . . © 2022 PitchBook. Win what’s next. All rights reserved. Terms of Use. Privacy Policy. California Consumer: Do Not Sell My Info.